La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jaime Faria v Denis Shapovalov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaime Faria (Local)
Predicción 61.91%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.985%
Kelly -2.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%61.93%61.79%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.34%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)
Predicción 38.09%2.63momio equitativo
EV -0.961%
Ventaja -0.370%
Kelly -0.601%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%38.07%38.21%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.14%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -7.06%E -2.89%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.63%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:19 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.15%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 15:12 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 15:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 15:18 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.38%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Fliff | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.38% | 1.4% | 2026-05-26 15:20 |