Language:English
Ignacio Buse v Andrey Rublev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV -0.402%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.46%34.21%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.592.752.752.9038.61%36.41%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 65.66%1.52fair odd
EV -0.859%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.17%65.54%65.79%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.44%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ignacio Buse (Local): 34.34%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 65.66%. For Ignacio Buse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.402%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.402%E -0.139%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 14:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.81%E -0.992%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.58%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -8.30%E -3.11%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -10.71%E -7.87%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -11.05%E -4.27%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -0.859%E -0.569%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.71% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.29% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |