La scuola delle quote

Ignacio Buse v Andrey Rublev

Inizio: 2026-05-25 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ignacio Buse (Casa)

Previsione 34.34%2.91quota equa
EV -0.402%
Vantaggio -0.139%
Kelly -0.212%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.87%34.46%34.21%36.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.592.752.752.9038.61%36.41%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Andrey Rublev (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.66%1.52quota equa
EV -0.859%
Vantaggio -0.569%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.17%65.54%65.79%67.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.44%69.44%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.402%E -0.139%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 14:16
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:39
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:39
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:20
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:39
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:39
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-25 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.81%E -0.992%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 13:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:10
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:10
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:50
MyBookie.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:40
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 14:09
BetAnything2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:14
SportsBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:18
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 14:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:40
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:09
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:20
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:20
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:39
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:19
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 13:40
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:20
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.58%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 14:19
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 14:19
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 14:20
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 14:20
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -8.30%E -3.11%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:40
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:40
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 14:20
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 14:20
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -10.71%E -7.87%K -29.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 14:20
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 13:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 13:39
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:20
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -11.05%E -4.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -0.859%E -0.569%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 14:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-25 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-25 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-25 14:20
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-25 14:20
Novig2.95I 33.90%NM 33.71%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.29%0.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-05-25 14:20