La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ignacio Buse v Andrey Rublev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Predicción 34.34%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.402%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.212%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%34.46%34.21%36.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.592.752.752.9038.61%36.41%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 65.66%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.859%
Ventaja -0.569%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%65.54%65.79%67.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.44%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.402%E -0.139%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 14:16 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.81%E -0.992%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:18 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.58%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -8.30%E -3.11%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| TAB | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -10.71%E -7.87%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -11.05%E -4.27%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -0.859%E -0.569%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Novig | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.71% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.29% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |