Language:English
Hugo Dellien v Valentin Royer
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hugo Dellien (Local)
Prediction 57.49%1.74fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.43%57.55%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.661.7163.69%60.40%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Royer (Visit)
Prediction 42.51%2.35fair odd
EV -0.948%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.713%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.57%42.45%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.232.3346.51%44.76%44.84%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hugo Dellien (Local): 57.49%; Valentin Royer (Visit): 42.51%. For Valentin Royer (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -0.948%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.27%E -1.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -6.05%E -2.74%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.948%E -0.407%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.37%E -0.592%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 17:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.29%E -3.86%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 17:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.74%E -6.21%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.74%E -6.21%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |