L’École des cotes

Hugo Dellien v Valentin Royer

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 18:03 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hugo Dellien (Local)

Prévision 57.49%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.991%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.43%57.55%58.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.661.661.7163.69%60.40%60.24%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valentin Royer (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.51%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.948%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.713%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.10%42.57%42.45%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.232.232.3346.51%44.76%44.84%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.27%E -1.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -6.05%E -2.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 17:59
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.948%E -0.407%K -0.713%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 17:59
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 18:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:00
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.37%E -0.592%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 17:59
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:58
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.29%E -3.86%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:58
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:59
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.74%E -6.21%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.74%E -6.21%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%2.4%2026-05-24 18:00