مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hugo Dellien v Valentin Royer

البداية: 2026-05-24 18:03 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hugo Dellien (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.49%1.74السعر العادل
EV -1.69%
الأفضلية -0.991%
Kelly -2.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.99%57.43%57.55%58.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.661.661.7163.69%60.40%60.24%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valentin Royer (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.51%2.35السعر العادل
EV -0.948%
الأفضلية -0.407%
Kelly -0.713%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.10%42.57%42.45%44.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.232.232.3346.51%44.76%44.84%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.27%E -1.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -6.05%E -2.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 17:59
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.948%E -0.407%K -0.713%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 17:59
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 18:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:00
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.37%E -0.592%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 17:59
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:58
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.29%E -3.86%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.22%E -0.967%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:58
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:59
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.44%E -4.62%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.74%E -6.21%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.74%E -6.21%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%2.4%2026-05-24 18:00