Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Learner Tien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 61.43%1.63fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.46%61.50%62.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.551.6066.67%64.72%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%38.54%38.50%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.482.5442.55%40.55%40.32%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 61.43%; Learner Tien (Visit): 38.57%. For Flavio Cobolli (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.71%E -1.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 05:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 03:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 06:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 06:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.19%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 06:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 06:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 05:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 08:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 09:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.24%E -4.79%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -2.04%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |