La scuola delle quote

Flavio Cobolli v Learner Tien

Inizio: 2026-05-30 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 61.43%1.63quota equa
EV -1.71%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.95%61.46%61.50%62.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.541.551.6066.67%64.72%64.52%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.57%2.59quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.802%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.13%38.54%38.50%40.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.472.482.5442.55%40.55%40.32%39.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.71%E -1.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 09:40
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-30 09:50
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 09:30
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 09:30
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 09:49
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 09:49
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 09:49
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 09:49
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 05:40
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 09:50
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 03:09
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 09:40
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 03:10
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 09:50
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 03:10
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 05:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 05:10
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 06:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:49
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:30
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 06:10
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.19%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 09:49
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 09:49
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 09:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 06:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 06:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 04:39
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 04:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 04:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 04:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 05:39
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 05:10
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:40
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 03:10
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 03:10
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 03:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 05:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 08:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 09:29
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:50
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.24%E -4.79%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 09:50
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -2.04%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 03:10
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 05:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-30 09:50
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-30 09:50
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-05-30 09:50