La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 61.43%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.95%61.46%61.50%62.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.551.6066.67%64.72%64.52%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 38.57%2.59momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.802%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.13%38.54%38.50%40.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.472.482.5442.55%40.55%40.32%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.71%E -1.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.55%E -2.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 05:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 03:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.67%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 06:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.78%E -3.08%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 06:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.19%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 09:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 06:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 06:00 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:39 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 05:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 08:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 09:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.62%E -4.36%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.24%E -4.79%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| GTbets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -2.04%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 05:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-05-30 09:50 |