Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Andrea Pellegrino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 72.37%1.38fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.50%72.35%72.34%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.301.301.3681.30%76.69%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrea Pellegrino (Visit)
Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.895%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%27.65%27.66%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.453.7431.25%28.88%28.99%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 72.37%; Andrea Pellegrino (Visit): 27.63%. For Andrea Pellegrino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +3.35%E +0.895%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -10.99%E -8.93%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV +0.861%E +0.236%K +0.325%G +0.003% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.521%E -0.145%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:48 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.18%E -0.616%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.18%E -0.616%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -2.46%E -0.696%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 14:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.94%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.32%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.19%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.57%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |