La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Andrea Pellegrino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 72.37%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -4.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.50%72.35%72.34%74.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.301.301.3681.30%76.69%76.92%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andrea Pellegrino (Visitante)
Predicción 27.63%3.62momio equitativo
EV +3.35%
Ventaja +0.895%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.20%27.65%27.66%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.463.453.7431.25%28.88%28.99%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +3.35%E +0.895%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -10.99%E -8.93%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV +0.861%E +0.236%K +0.325%G +0.003% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.521%E -0.145%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:48 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.18%E -0.616%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.18%E -0.616%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -2.46%E -0.696%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 14:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.94%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 14:59 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.32%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.19%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.57%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 10:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |