Langue:Français
Flavio Cobolli v Andrea Pellegrino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prévision 72.37%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -4.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.50%72.35%72.34%74.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.231.301.301.3681.30%76.69%76.92%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Andrea Pellegrino (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.63%3.62cote équitable
EV +3.35%
Avantage +0.895%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 3.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.20%27.65%27.66%29.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.453.7431.25%28.88%28.99%26.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Flavio Cobolli (Local) : 72.37% ; Andrea Pellegrino (Visiteur) : 27.63%. Pour Andrea Pellegrino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.62. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.74, soit une espérance positive de +3.35%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +3.35%E +0.895%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -10.99%E -8.93%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV +0.861%E +0.236%K +0.325%G +0.003% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.521%E -0.145%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:48 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.90%E -0.536%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.18%E -0.616%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.18%E -0.616%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -2.46%E -0.696%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.28%E -0.938%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 14:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.65%E -5.15%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.94%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.32%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.19%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.92%E -4.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.57%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 10:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |