Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Roman Andres Burruchaga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 71.41%1.40fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.43%71.43%73.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.341.331.3877.52%74.76%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visit)
Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV +4.66%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.082%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%28.57%28.57%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.253.6633.33%30.47%30.77%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 71.41%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visit): 28.59%. For Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV +4.66%E +1.27%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.94%E +0.817%K +1.13%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.94%E +0.817%K +1.13%G +0.033% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.081%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 14:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.39%EV -1.92%E -0.560%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.645%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -5.92%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -6.21%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 14:17 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 14:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |