La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Roman Andres Burruchaga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 71.41%1.40momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -3.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%71.43%71.43%73.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.341.331.3877.52%74.76%75.19%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante)
Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV +4.66%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.75%
Crecimiento +0.082%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.06%28.57%28.57%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.283.253.6633.33%30.47%30.77%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV +4.66%E +1.27%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:16 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.94%E +0.817%K +1.13%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.94%E +0.817%K +1.13%G +0.033% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.081%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 14:23 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.39%EV -1.92%E -0.560%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.645%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 14:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -5.92%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -6.21%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Fliff | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 14:17 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 14:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 14:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 14:29 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 14:30 |