L’École des cotes

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 14:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prévision 71.41%1.40cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -3.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%71.43%71.43%73.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.341.331.3877.52%74.76%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.59%3.50cote équitable
EV +4.66%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.75%
Croissance +0.082%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.06%28.57%28.57%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.283.253.6633.33%30.47%30.77%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV +4.66%E +1.27%K +1.75%G +0.082%4.8%2026-05-28 14:16
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055%5.1%2026-05-28 14:30
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.94%E +0.817%K +1.13%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-28 14:30
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.11%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.94%E +0.817%K +1.13%G +0.033%5.3%2026-05-28 14:28
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.081%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 14:23
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-28 14:30
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 14:29
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.39%EV -1.92%E -0.560%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 14:30
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.645%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-28 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 14:30
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 14:24
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 14:29
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:30
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 14:29
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 14:29
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 14:29
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 14:30
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:30
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 14:30
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 14:30
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 14:30
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 14:29
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -5.92%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -6.21%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 14:28
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:29
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:30
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:29
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:30
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:29
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:29
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:29
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:29
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 14:29
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:30
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:30
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 14:29
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 14:30
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 14:30
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 14:17
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:29
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:29
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:29
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 14:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 14:30
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 14:29
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 14:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-28 14:30
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-28 14:29
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87%1.9%2026-05-28 14:30
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-05-28 14:30