Language:English
Federico Cinà v Reilly Opelka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Federico Cinà (Local)
Prediction 65.28%1.53fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.28%65.27%67.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.451.451.5070.92%68.77%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reilly Opelka (Visit)
Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.710%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.41%34.72%34.73%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.752.9438.46%36.59%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Federico Cinà (Local): 65.28%; Reilly Opelka (Visit): 34.72%. For Reilly Opelka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +2.09%E +0.710%K +1.08%G +0.022% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.74%E +0.594%K +0.902%G +0.016% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -0.343%E -0.119%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.08%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.08%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 12:27 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -6.94%E -2.59%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.72%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.72%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 12:38 |