A Escola das Odds

Federico Cinà v Reilly Opelka

Início: 2026-05-24 12:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Federico Cinà (Local)

Previsão 65.28%1.53odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.59%65.28%65.27%67.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.411.451.451.5070.92%68.77%68.97%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Reilly Opelka (Visitante)

Previsão 34.72%2.88odd justa
EV +2.09%
Vantagem +0.710%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.41%34.72%34.73%36.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.732.752.9438.46%36.59%36.36%34.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +2.09%E +0.710%K +1.08%G +0.022%4.9%2026-05-24 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.74%E +0.594%K +0.902%G +0.016%4.1%2026-05-24 12:29
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -0.343%E -0.119%K -0.183%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 12:30
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.08%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:30
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.08%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:30
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 12:29
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:30
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:29
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 12:27
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 12:29
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:29
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:30
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 12:30
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 12:30
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 12:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 12:30
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 12:30
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:29
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:30
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:30
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 12:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 12:30
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -6.94%E -2.59%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:29
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 12:30
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:30
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.72%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.72%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 12:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%3.4%2026-05-24 12:38