Idioma:Español
Federico Cinà v Reilly Opelka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Federico Cinà (Local)
Predicción 65.28%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -4.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.59%65.28%65.27%67.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.451.451.5070.92%68.77%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Reilly Opelka (Visitante)
Predicción 34.72%2.88momio equitativo
EV +2.09%
Ventaja +0.710%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.41%34.72%34.73%36.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.732.752.9438.46%36.59%36.36%34.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Federico Cinà (Local): 65.28%; Reilly Opelka (Visitante): 34.72%. Para Reilly Opelka (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.88. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.94, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +2.09%E +0.710%K +1.08%G +0.022% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.74%E +0.594%K +0.902%G +0.016% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -0.343%E -0.119%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.08%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.08%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 12:27 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.66%E -4.65%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -6.94%E -2.59%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.72%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.72%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 12:38 |