Language:English
Cameron Norrie v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV +0.853%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.742%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.82%46.95%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.022.1552.36%49.37%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit)
Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV +0.874%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.971%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%53.18%53.05%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.781.9059.17%56.25%56.18%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 46.91%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit): 53.09%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.874%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -9.94%E -5.18%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +0.874%E +0.460%K +0.971%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 12:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%EV -1.25%E -0.672%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -0.555%E -0.262%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.65%E -3.34%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 12:07 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -4.78%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 12:12 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 12:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.853%E +0.397%K +0.742%G +0.006% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.853%E +0.397%K +0.742%G +0.006% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -1.96%E -0.939%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:17 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-26 12:17 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.27%E -6.08%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |