La scuola delle quote

Cameron Norrie v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Inizio: 2026-05-26 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cameron Norrie (Casa)

Previsione 46.91%2.13quota equa
EV +0.853%
Vantaggio +0.397%
Kelly +0.742%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.59%46.82%46.95%49.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.032.022.1552.36%49.37%49.50%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.09%1.88quota equa
EV +0.874%
Vantaggio +0.460%
Kelly +0.971%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.26%53.18%53.05%55.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.781.781.9059.17%56.25%56.18%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -9.94%E -5.18%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +0.874%E +0.460%K +0.971%G +0.008%4.7%2026-05-26 12:14
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%EV -1.25%E -0.672%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:19
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 12:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:20
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -0.555%E -0.262%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 12:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 12:19
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 12:20
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 12:20
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 12:20
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 11:50
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.65%E -3.34%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 12:20
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 12:07
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 12:00
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:40
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 12:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:19
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -4.78%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:12
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 12:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:39
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:15
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 12:18
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 12:19
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.853%E +0.397%K +0.742%G +0.006%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 11:49
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.853%E +0.397%K +0.742%G +0.006%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 11:50
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -1.96%E -0.939%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:17
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 12:17
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:49
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:49
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:50
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.27%E -6.08%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 11:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-26 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-26 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-26 12:20
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-05-26 12:20
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-05-26 12:20