La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cameron Norrie v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Predicción 46.91%2.13momio equitativo
EV +0.853%
Ventaja +0.397%
Kelly +0.742%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%46.82%46.95%49.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.022.1552.36%49.37%49.50%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visitante)
Predicción 53.09%1.88momio equitativo
EV +0.874%
Ventaja +0.460%
Kelly +0.971%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.26%53.18%53.05%55.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.691.781.781.9059.17%56.25%56.18%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -9.94%E -5.18%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +0.874%E +0.460%K +0.971%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 12:14 |
| GTbets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%EV -1.25%E -0.672%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 12:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -0.555%E -0.262%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.65%E -3.34%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 12:07 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -4.78%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 12:12 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 12:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.853%E +0.397%K +0.742%G +0.006% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.853%E +0.397%K +0.742%G +0.006% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -1.96%E -0.939%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:17 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-26 12:17 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.27%E -6.08%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Novig | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |