La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alexandre Muller v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexandre Muller (Casa)
Previsione 18.47%5.41quota equa
EV +20.07%
Vantaggio +3.09%
Kelly +3.65%
Crescita +0.733%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.47%18.30%18.70%21.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.205.225.036.5023.81%19.14%19.88%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Trasferta)
Previsione 81.53%1.23quota equa
EV -2.98%
Vantaggio -2.51%
Kelly -15.70%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.80%81.70%81.30%85.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.151.151.1990.91%86.68%86.96%84.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +20.07%E +3.09%K +3.65%G +0.733% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -10.32%E -9.38%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +20.07%E +3.09%K +3.65%G +0.733% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -10.32%E -9.38%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:48 |
| 1xBet | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.87%EV +13.61%E +2.21%K +2.64%G +0.360% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.13%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +10.84%E +1.81%K +2.17%G +0.235% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 07:30 |
| Pinnacle | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +9.91%E +1.67%K +2.00%G +0.199% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 08:10 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -8.69%E -7.76%K -72.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +6.40%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +6.40%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 10:19 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 10:19 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 10:19 |
| BetRivers | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 07:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 08:00 |
| GTbets | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.46%EV +2.15%E +0.390%K +0.475%G +0.010% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.54%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:34 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 10:20 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 17:39 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.69%E -7.76%K -72.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.02%E -0.575%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.02%E -0.575%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.94%E -0.758%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -7.08%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.98%E -2.51%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 19:40 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 07:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -8.56%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Fliff | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -8.56%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Bally Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.48%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.48%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betsson | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -9.50%E -8.56%K -86.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.87%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -22.41%E -5.34%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:30 |
| Novig | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |