La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexandre Muller v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexandre Muller (Local)
Predicción 18.47%5.41momio equitativo
EV +20.07%
Ventaja +3.09%
Kelly +3.65%
Crecimiento +0.733%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.47%18.30%18.70%21.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.225.036.5023.81%19.14%19.88%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)
Predicción 81.53%1.23momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -15.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.80%81.70%81.30%85.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.151.151.1990.91%86.68%86.96%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +20.07%E +3.09%K +3.65%G +0.733% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -10.32%E -9.38%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +20.07%E +3.09%K +3.65%G +0.733% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -10.32%E -9.38%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:48 |
| 1xBet | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.87%EV +13.61%E +2.21%K +2.64%G +0.360% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.13%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +10.84%E +1.81%K +2.17%G +0.235% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 07:30 |
| Pinnacle | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +9.91%E +1.67%K +2.00%G +0.199% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 08:10 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -8.69%E -7.76%K -72.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +6.40%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +6.40%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 10:19 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 10:19 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 10:19 |
| BetRivers | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 07:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 08:00 |
| GTbets | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.46%EV +2.15%E +0.390%K +0.475%G +0.010% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.54%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:34 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 10:20 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 17:39 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.69%E -7.76%K -72.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.02%E -0.575%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.02%E -0.575%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.94%E -0.758%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -7.08%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.98%E -2.51%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 19:40 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 07:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -8.56%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Fliff | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -8.56%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Bally Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.48%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.48%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betsson | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -9.50%E -8.56%K -86.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.87%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -22.41%E -5.34%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:30 |
| Novig | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |