مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexandre Muller v Stefanos Tsitsipas

البداية: 2026-05-26 11:54 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexandre Muller (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.47%5.41السعر العادل
EV +20.07%
الأفضلية +3.09%
Kelly +3.65%
النمو +0.733%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.47%18.30%18.70%21.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.205.225.036.5023.81%19.14%19.88%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 81.53%1.23السعر العادل
EV -2.98%
الأفضلية -2.51%
Kelly -15.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.80%81.70%81.30%85.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.151.151.1990.91%86.68%86.96%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +20.07%E +3.09%K +3.65%G +0.733%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -10.32%E -9.38%K -103.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:48
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +20.07%E +3.09%K +3.65%G +0.733%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -10.32%E -9.38%K -103.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:48
1xBet6.15I 16.26%NM 15.87%EV +13.61%E +2.21%K +2.64%G +0.360%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.13%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 10:50
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +10.84%E +1.81%K +2.17%G +0.235%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 07:30
Pinnacle5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +9.91%E +1.67%K +2.00%G +0.199%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 08:50
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 08:10
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:50
NetBet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.14%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -8.69%E -7.76%K -72.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:45
BetOnline.ag5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +6.40%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 10:20
LowVig.ag5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +6.40%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 10:19
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 10:19
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 10:19
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 07:29
MyBookie.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.45%E +0.616%K +0.749%G +0.026%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 08:00
GTbets5.53I 18.08%NM 17.46%EV +2.15%E +0.390%K +0.475%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.54%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Marathon Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:34
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:49
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 10:20
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 17:39
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 14:30
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.60%E +0.291%K +0.356%G +0.006%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.69%E -7.76%K -72.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 11:50
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.02%E -0.575%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 10:10
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.02%E -0.575%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:49
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.94%E -0.758%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:50
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:50
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:50
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:50
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:50
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.79%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:50
DraftKings5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -7.08%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 11:49
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.98%E -2.51%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 11:50
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:50
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 11:49
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 19:40
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 19:40
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:50
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:50
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:50
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:50
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 07:50
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.64%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:49
Coolbet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -8.56%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:50
Fliff4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -8.56%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 11:49
Bally Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.48%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.48%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 11:49
Fanatics4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:50
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:50
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:50
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.43%E -4.68%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:50
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.33%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.06%E -6.19%K -50.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 11:50
NordicBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:50
Betsson4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.80%E -3.22%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:50
theScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:50
PMU (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.25%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -9.50%E -8.56%K -86.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 11:49
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.61%E -3.94%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 11:49
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.87%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.24%E -5.43%K -41.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-26 11:50
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -22.41%E -5.34%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -7.87%E -6.97%K -60.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-26 11:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-05-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:30
Novig5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10%1.1%2026-05-26 11:50
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%3.3%2026-05-26 11:50
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%3.7%2026-05-26 11:49