The School of Odds

Pablo Carreno Busta v Denis Shapovalov

Matchstart: 2026-02-24 10:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Hemma)

Prognos 32.97%3.03rättvist odds
EV -1.09%
Fördel -0.364%
Kelly -0.545%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.51%33.06%32.95%36.41%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.622.872.853.0038.17%34.87%35.09%33.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Denis Shapovalov (Borta)

Prognos 67.03%1.49rättvist odds
EV +0.545%
Fördel +0.364%
Kelly +1.09%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
63.59%66.94%67.05%68.49%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.59%70.42%66.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -13.62%E -5.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.545%E +0.364%K +1.09%G +0.006%4.8%2026-02-24 08:15
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.74%E -0.928%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-24 09:20
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 09:53
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 08:39
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:10
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.09%E -0.364%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 08:44
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.74%E -0.928%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 09:54
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.06%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 09:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 08:40
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.05%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 08:39
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 08:44
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 08:39
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 05:34
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -4.72%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 09:25
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 08:40
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.09%E -0.364%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 09:54
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.75%E -0.587%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 08:39
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 08:40
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 08:39
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:34
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 08:39
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 09:54
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 05:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 05:09
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 05:09
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.83%E -4.91%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 08:44
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.09%E -0.364%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.50%E -5.43%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 09:54
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.50%E -5.43%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 09:54
SportsBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -8.17%E -5.96%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 08:40
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 09:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-02-24 09:54