Szkoła Kursów

Pablo Carreno Busta v Denis Shapovalov

Początek: 2026-02-24 10:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 32.97%3.03kurs godziwy
EV -1.09%
Przewaga -0.364%
Kelly -0.545%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.51%33.06%32.95%36.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.622.872.853.0038.17%34.87%35.09%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Denis Shapovalov (Goście)

Prognoza 67.03%1.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.545%
Przewaga +0.364%
Kelly +1.09%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.59%66.94%67.05%68.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.59%70.42%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -13.62%E -5.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.545%E +0.364%K +1.09%G +0.006%4.8%2026-02-24 08:15
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.74%E -0.928%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-24 09:20
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 09:49
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 09:53
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 08:39
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:34
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 05:10
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.09%E -0.364%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 08:44
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.74%E -0.928%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 09:54
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.06%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 09:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 08:40
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.05%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 08:39
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 08:44
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 08:39
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 05:34
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -4.72%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 09:25
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 08:40
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.09%E -0.364%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 09:54
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.75%E -0.587%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 08:39
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 08:40
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 08:39
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 05:34
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 08:39
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 09:54
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 05:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 05:09
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 05:09
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.83%E -4.91%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 08:44
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.09%E -0.364%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.50%E -5.43%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 09:54
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.50%E -5.43%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 09:54
SportsBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -8.17%E -5.96%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 08:40
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.39%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 09:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (1)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-02-24 09:54