Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Alexander Bublik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.328%
Kelly +0.468%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.15%30.44%30.43%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.153.3334.48%32.18%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Prediction 69.64%1.44fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -6.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.56%69.57%70.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.40%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 30.36%; Alexander Bublik (Visit): 69.64%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV +1.09%E +0.328%K +0.468%G +0.005% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.34%E -0.412%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 11:32 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 08:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.68%E -4.98%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.16%E -0.990%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -3.77%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -3.77%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.68%E -4.98%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 08:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 11:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |