La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jan-Lennard Struff v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Predicción 30.36%3.29momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.328%
Kelly +0.468%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.15%30.44%30.43%32.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.113.153.3334.48%32.18%31.75%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 69.64%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -6.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%69.56%69.57%70.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.40%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV +1.09%E +0.328%K +0.468%G +0.005% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.34%E -0.412%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 11:32 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 08:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.68%E -4.98%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.16%E -0.990%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -3.77%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| GTbets | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -3.77%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 11:55 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 11:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 10:29 |
| SportsBet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Fliff | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.68%E -4.98%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 08:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 08:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 08:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 11:35 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 11:25 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 14:55 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-02-24 11:54 |