A Escola das Odds

Jan-Lennard Struff v Alexander Bublik

Início: 2026-02-24 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Previsão 30.36%3.29odd justa
EV +1.09%
Vantagem +0.328%
Kelly +0.468%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.15%30.44%30.43%32.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.113.153.3334.48%32.18%31.75%30.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Bublik (Visitante)

Previsão 69.64%1.44odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -6.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.56%69.57%70.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.40%73.53%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV +1.09%E +0.328%K +0.468%G +0.005%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 11:49
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.34%E -0.412%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 11:54
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 11:32
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 08:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 11:34
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 11:49
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:19
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.86%E -0.892%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.68%E -4.98%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 11:49
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.16%E -0.990%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 11:50
DraftKings3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -3.77%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 11:19
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -3.77%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 11:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:54
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:50
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:50
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 11:49
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 10:30
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 10:29
SportsBet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 11:34
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 11:34
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 08:39
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 08:40
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 11:19
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 08:24
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 11:54
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.68%E -4.98%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 11:54
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 08:40
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 08:39
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.41%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 11:20
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.89%E -2.82%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 08:44
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.59%E -3.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 11:35
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 08:24
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 08:24
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 08:24
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 11:25
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 14:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 23:04
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.50%E -1.79%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 23:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-02-24 11:54