StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik v Tallon Griekspoor

Matchstart: 2026-02-26 16:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik (Hemma)

Prognos 69.58%1.44rättvist odds
EV -3.29%
Fördel -2.37%
Kelly -8.43%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.49%69.59%69.51%70.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.361.361.3975.19%73.58%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Borta)

Prognos 30.42%3.29rättvist odds
EV -0.821%
Fördel -0.252%
Kelly -0.363%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.19%30.41%30.49%31.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.123.123.2633.33%32.09%32.05%30.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jakub Mensik (Hemma): 69.58%; Tallon Griekspoor (Borta): 30.42%. För Tallon Griekspoor (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.29. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.26, med väntevärdet -0.821%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -0.821%E -0.252%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:04
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 08:54
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 08:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 16:04
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 01:20
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 11:17
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 08:54
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.95%E -0.925%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 01:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:19
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 16:05
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 20:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:24
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:09
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:05
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 16:13
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 12:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-26 16:25