Język:Polski
Jakub Mensik v Tallon Griekspoor
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 69.58%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -3.29%
Przewaga -2.37%
Kelly -8.43%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.39
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.49%69.59%69.51%70.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.331.361.361.3975.19%73.58%73.53%71.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tallon Griekspoor (Goście)
Prognoza 30.42%3.29kurs godziwy
EV -0.821%
Przewaga -0.252%
Kelly -0.363%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.26
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.19%30.41%30.49%31.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.123.123.2633.33%32.09%32.05%30.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze): 69.58%; Tallon Griekspoor (Goście): 30.42%. Dla wyniku Tallon Griekspoor (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.29. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.26, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.821%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -0.821%E -0.252%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 16:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 01:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 11:17 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.95%E -0.925%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 10:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 10:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 16:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 12:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (1)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 16:25 |