La escuela de los momios

Jakub Mensik v Tallon Griekspoor

Inicio: 2026-02-26 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Predicción 69.58%1.44momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -8.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%69.59%69.51%70.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.361.361.3975.19%73.58%73.53%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Predicción 30.42%3.29momio equitativo
EV -0.821%
Ventaja -0.252%
Kelly -0.363%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%30.41%30.49%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.123.123.2633.33%32.09%32.05%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -0.821%E -0.252%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 11:20
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 14:05
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:04
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 16:05
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 08:54
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 08:55
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 16:04
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 01:20
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 11:17
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 08:54
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 08:54
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.95%E -0.925%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 14:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 01:14
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:20
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:19
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:00
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 08:54
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 16:05
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 20:49
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:24
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:09
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 14:05
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:05
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:10
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 14:05
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 16:13
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 12:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-26 16:25