Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik v Tallon Griekspoor

Início: 2026-02-26 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Previsão 69.58%1.44odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -2.37%
Kelly -8.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.49%69.59%69.51%70.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.361.361.3975.19%73.58%73.53%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Previsão 30.42%3.29odd justa
EV -0.821%
Vantagem -0.252%
Kelly -0.363%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.19%30.41%30.49%31.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.123.123.2633.33%32.09%32.05%30.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jakub Mensik (Local): 69.58%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 30.42%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.29. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.26, com valor esperado de -0.821%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -3.29%E -2.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -0.821%E -0.252%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:04
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.98%E -2.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 08:54
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 08:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 16:04
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.68%E -3.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 01:20
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 11:17
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 08:54
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.95%E -0.925%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 01:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:19
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 16:05
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.95%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 20:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:24
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:09
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.07%E -4.50%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:05
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 16:13
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 12:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-26 16:25