Language:English
Jakub Mensik v Alexei Popyrin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prediction 71.39%1.40fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -8.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.24%71.46%71.37%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.23%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexei Popyrin (Visit)
Prediction 28.61%3.50fair odd
EV +0.141%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.54%28.63%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.5031.75%30.30%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jakub Mensik (Local): 71.39%; Alexei Popyrin (Visit): 28.61%. For Alexei Popyrin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.495. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.141%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.141%E +0.040%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 13:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -2.91%E -2.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -2.43%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-25 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 13:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.91%E -6.13%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.58%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.58%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 12:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.15%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.63%E -2.69%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 14:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.24%EV -2.91%E -2.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.76%EV -8.16%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 13:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 16:00 |