A Escola das Odds

Jakub Mensik v Alexei Popyrin

Início: 2026-02-25 16:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Previsão 71.39%1.40odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -8.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.24%71.46%71.37%72.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.23%75.19%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexei Popyrin (Visitante)

Previsão 28.61%3.50odd justa
EV +0.141%
Vantagem +0.040%
Kelly +0.057%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%28.54%28.63%29.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.303.303.5031.75%30.30%30.30%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.141%E +0.040%K +0.057%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 13:24
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 16:00
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -2.91%E -2.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -2.43%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 14:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 13:45
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.91%E -6.13%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 04:50
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.58%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.58%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 15:55
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 14:35
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:24
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 12:05
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 15:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 12:25
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:44
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 13:25
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 15:24
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 15:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 13:25
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 13:25
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 13:25
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.15%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 15:29
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.63%E -2.69%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 14:07
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 13:14
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 15:50
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 15:50
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.24%EV -2.91%E -2.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.76%EV -8.16%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 13:09
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 13:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 15:45
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 14:30
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 15:59
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 13:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-02-25 16:00