L’École des cotes

Jakub Mensik v Alexei Popyrin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 16:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Prévision 71.39%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -8.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.24%71.46%71.37%72.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.23%75.19%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexei Popyrin (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.61%3.50cote équitable
EV +0.141%
Avantage +0.040%
Kelly +0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.54%28.63%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.303.303.5031.75%30.30%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.141%E +0.040%K +0.057%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 13:24
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 16:00
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -2.91%E -2.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -2.43%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 14:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 13:45
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.91%E -6.13%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 04:50
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.58%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.58%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 15:55
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 14:35
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:24
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 12:05
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 15:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 12:25
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:44
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:45
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 13:25
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 15:24
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 15:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:50
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 13:25
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 13:25
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 13:25
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.34%E -3.24%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.15%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 15:29
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.63%E -2.69%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 14:07
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 13:14
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 15:50
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.48%E -4.95%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 15:50
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.24%EV -2.91%E -2.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.76%EV -8.16%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 13:09
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.05%E -3.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 13:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 15:45
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 14:30
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.20%E -5.53%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 15:59
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.77%E -4.37%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-02-25 16:00