Language:English
Daniil Medvedev v Tallon Griekspoor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prediction 80.37%1.24fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.47%80.11%80.23%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2387.72%85.18%85.47%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)
Prediction 19.63%5.09fair odd
EV +7.99%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.142%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%19.89%19.77%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.975.005.5027.78%20.10%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 80.37%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 19.63%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:53 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.58%E -6.59%K -50.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -7.58%E -6.59%K -50.53%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV +5.04%E +0.942%K +1.16%G +0.058% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 10:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.06%E +0.766%K +0.944%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +2.10%E +0.403%K +0.499%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.134%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 10:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 21:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 10:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 12:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 12:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 12:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -1.15%E -0.935%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 10:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -10.67%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 12:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -12.43%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.98%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -21.46%E -5.37%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 13:02 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -29.32%E -8.14%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 09:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |