La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniil Medvedev v Tallon Griekspoor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Predicción 80.37%1.24momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.935%
Kelly -5.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.47%80.11%80.23%82.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.171.171.2387.72%85.18%85.47%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)
Predicción 19.63%5.09momio equitativo
EV +7.99%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.142%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%19.89%19.77%24.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.975.005.5027.78%20.10%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:53 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| betPARX | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.58%E -6.59%K -50.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| BetUS | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -7.58%E -6.59%K -50.53%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV +5.04%E +0.942%K +1.16%G +0.058% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 10:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.06%E +0.766%K +0.944%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +2.10%E +0.403%K +0.499%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.134%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 10:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 10:48 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 23:40 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 10:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 12:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 12:56 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 12:56 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -1.15%E -0.935%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 13:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 10:15 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -10.67%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 12:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -12.43%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.98%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -21.46%E -5.37%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 13:02 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -29.32%E -8.14%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 09:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |