Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev v Tallon Griekspoor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 80.37%1.24cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.935%
Kelly -5.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.47%80.11%80.23%82.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.171.171.2387.72%85.18%85.47%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.63%5.09cote équitable
EV +7.99%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.142%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%19.89%19.77%24.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.975.005.5027.78%20.10%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 80.37% ; Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur) : 19.63%. Pour Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.09. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +7.99%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:54
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:49
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:54
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:53
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:54
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:54
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%4.4%2026-02-28 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.58%E -6.59%K -50.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.99%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.142%5.1%2026-02-28 00:49
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -7.58%E -6.59%K -50.53%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV +5.04%E +0.942%K +1.16%G +0.058%5.6%2026-02-28 10:15
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.06%E +0.766%K +0.944%G +0.038%5.1%2026-02-28 00:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +2.10%E +0.403%K +0.499%G +0.010%7.0%2026-02-28 00:49
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.134%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 10:15
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 10:55
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 10:48
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 20:39
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 21:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 00:49
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.78%E -5.84%K -42.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 23:40
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.83%E -0.366%K -0.457%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 10:55
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 10:55
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.79%E -0.774%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 10:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.77%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 12:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 12:56
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 08:59
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -1.15%E -0.935%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-28 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:15
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:59
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.68%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -10.67%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 12:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 08:59
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 08:59
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -12.43%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.98%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:55
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -21.46%E -5.37%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 13:02
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -29.32%E -8.14%K -11.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 09:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-02-28 10:55