Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniil Medvedev v Jenson Brooksby

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 10:18 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prediction 77.74%1.29fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%77.76%77.78%80.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.201.2785.47%82.59%83.33%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jenson Brooksby (Visit)

Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV +7.28%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.139%

assuming max odds 4.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%22.24%22.22%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.224.264.8227.78%23.70%23.47%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 77.74%; Jenson Brooksby (Visit): 22.26%. For Jenson Brooksby (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV +7.28%E +1.51%K +1.90%G +0.139%4.1%2026-02-26 10:14
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.38%E +0.517%K +0.661%G +0.016%5.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 10:14
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -4.08%E -0.946%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 10:08
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 10:14
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 10:12
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 10:12
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 10:09
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 10:04
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 10:14
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 10:14
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 10:14
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.82%EV -1.27%E -0.996%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.18%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 10:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 10:14
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:09
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:11
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:13
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 10:14
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 10:14
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 10:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 10:13
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:12
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -17.65%E -4.77%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.88%E -5.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 10:09
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.88%E -5.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-02-26 10:14