A Escola das Odds

Daniil Medvedev v Jenson Brooksby

Início: 2026-02-26 10:18 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Previsão 77.74%1.29odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.996%
Kelly -4.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.23%77.76%77.78%80.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.211.201.2785.47%82.59%83.33%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jenson Brooksby (Visitante)

Previsão 22.26%4.49odd justa
EV +7.28%
Vantagem +1.51%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +0.139%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.93%22.24%22.22%25.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.224.264.8227.78%23.70%23.47%20.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV +7.28%E +1.51%K +1.90%G +0.139%4.1%2026-02-26 10:14
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.38%E +0.517%K +0.661%G +0.016%5.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 10:14
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -4.08%E -0.946%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 10:08
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 10:14
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 10:14
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 10:12
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 10:12
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 10:09
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 10:04
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 10:14
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 10:14
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 10:14
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.82%EV -1.27%E -0.996%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.18%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 10:14
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 10:14
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:09
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:11
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:13
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:13
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 10:14
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 10:14
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 10:13
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 10:13
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:12
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -17.65%E -4.77%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.88%E -5.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 10:09
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.88%E -5.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-02-26 10:14