L’École des cotes

Daniil Medvedev v Jenson Brooksby

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 10:18 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 77.74%1.29cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.996%
Kelly -4.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.23%77.76%77.78%80.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.201.2785.47%82.59%83.33%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jenson Brooksby (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.26%4.49cote équitable
EV +7.28%
Avantage +1.51%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +0.139%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.93%22.24%22.22%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.224.264.8227.78%23.70%23.47%20.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV +7.28%E +1.51%K +1.90%G +0.139%4.1%2026-02-26 10:14
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.38%E +0.517%K +0.661%G +0.016%5.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 10:14
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 10:14
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 10:14
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -4.08%E -0.946%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 10:08
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 10:14
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 10:14
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.49%E -6.29%K -39.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 10:14
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 10:12
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 10:12
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 10:09
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 10:04
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 10:14
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 10:14
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -9.04%E -7.73%K -53.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 10:14
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.82%EV -1.27%E -0.996%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.18%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 10:14
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 10:14
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 10:14
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:09
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:11
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:13
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 10:13
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 10:14
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 10:14
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 10:13
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 10:13
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 10:14
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:12
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -17.65%E -4.77%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.88%E -5.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 10:09
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.82%E -2.26%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.88%E -5.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-02-26 10:14