Language:English
Arthur Rinderknech v Jack Draper
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV +18.11%
Edge +4.35%
Kelly +5.73%
Growth +1.04%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.11%28.33%28.03%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.513.604.1635.71%28.46%27.78%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jack Draper (Visit)
Prediction 71.61%1.40fair odd
EV +0.969%
Edge +0.687%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%71.67%71.97%76.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.281.4180.65%77.50%78.13%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 28.39%; Jack Draper (Visit): 71.61%. For Arthur Rinderknech (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 27 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +18.11%E +4.35%K +5.73%G +1.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +18.11%E +4.35%K +5.73%G +1.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16%EV +14.98%E +3.70%K +4.91%G +0.736% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +13.56%E +3.39%K +4.52%G +0.613% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +7.60%E +2.01%K +2.72%G +0.207% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +6.18%E +1.65%K +2.26%G +0.139% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 17:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.19%E -4.73%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 18:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -11.20%E -9.04%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 10:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.21%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.04%E -3.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.253%E +0.181%K +0.633%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -6.19%E -4.73%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -17.95%E -6.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +0.969%E +0.687%K +2.36%G +0.023% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -18.23%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -2.61%E -1.92%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.51%E -7.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.253%E +0.181%K +0.633%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 2.0% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |