La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Rinderknech v Jack Draper
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Predicción 28.39%3.52momio equitativo
EV +18.11%
Ventaja +4.35%
Kelly +5.73%
Crecimiento +1.04%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.11%28.33%28.03%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.513.604.1635.71%28.46%27.78%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Predicción 71.61%1.40momio equitativo
EV +0.969%
Ventaja +0.687%
Kelly +2.36%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%71.67%71.97%76.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.291.281.4180.65%77.50%78.13%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +18.11%E +4.35%K +5.73%G +1.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +18.11%E +4.35%K +5.73%G +1.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16%EV +14.98%E +3.70%K +4.91%G +0.736% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 18:00 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +13.56%E +3.39%K +4.52%G +0.613% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:49 |
| GTbets | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +7.60%E +2.01%K +2.72%G +0.207% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Bally Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +6.18%E +1.65%K +2.26%G +0.139% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 17:56 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.19%E -4.73%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 18:01 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -11.20%E -9.04%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 10:44 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 17:30 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 07:40 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 07:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:00 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.21%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.04%E -3.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.253%E +0.181%K +0.633%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -6.19%E -4.73%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -17.95%E -6.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +0.969%E +0.687%K +2.36%G +0.023% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -18.23%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -2.61%E -1.92%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.51%E -7.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.253%E +0.181%K +0.633%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 2.0% | 2026-02-25 18:05 |