L’École des cotes

Arthur Rinderknech v Jack Draper

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prévision 28.39%3.52cote équitable
EV +18.11%
Avantage +4.35%
Kelly +5.73%
Croissance +1.04%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.11%28.33%28.03%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.513.604.1635.71%28.46%27.78%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jack Draper (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.61%1.40cote équitable
EV +0.969%
Avantage +0.687%
Kelly +2.36%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%71.67%71.97%76.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.281.4180.65%77.50%78.13%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +18.11%E +4.35%K +5.73%G +1.04%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 17:40
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +18.11%E +4.35%K +5.73%G +1.04%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 17:45
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16%EV +14.98%E +3.70%K +4.91%G +0.736%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-25 18:00
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +13.56%E +3.39%K +4.52%G +0.613%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 17:55
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 17:55
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 18:05
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 18:05
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 18:05
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 18:05
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +7.88%E +2.07%K +2.82%G +0.222%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 17:49
GTbets3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +7.60%E +2.01%K +2.72%G +0.207%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 17:34
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 14:50
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 18:05
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 18:05
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.46%E +1.72%K +2.35%G +0.152%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 18:05
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +6.18%E +1.65%K +2.26%G +0.139%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 17:44
Marathon Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 17:30
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 18:05
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 17:56
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 18:05
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +3.63%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.050%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 18:05
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.19%E -4.73%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 18:01
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 17:24
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 18:05
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.06%E -7.13%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 18:05
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV +2.21%E +0.613%K +0.849%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -11.20%E -9.04%K -46.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 18:05
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 18:05
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 18:05
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 10:44
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -0.633%E -0.181%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -10.49%E -8.39%K -41.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 17:30
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 07:40
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.05%E -0.595%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 07:40
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 18:00
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 18:05
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 18:05
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 18:05
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.34%E -6.52%K -29.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 18:05
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.21%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -9.77%E -7.76%K -37.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:00
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 18:05
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 18:05
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.91%E -5.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:05
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 18:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.04%E -3.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 18:05
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 18:04
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 18:04
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.253%E +0.181%K +0.633%G +0.002%4.8%2026-02-25 18:04
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.76%E -3.58%K -14.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 18:05
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -6.19%E -4.73%K -19.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 18:05
DraftKings2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -17.95%E -6.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +0.969%E +0.687%K +2.36%G +0.023%5.5%2026-02-25 18:04
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -18.23%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -2.61%E -1.92%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.51%E -7.32%K -11.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.253%E +0.181%K +0.633%G +0.002%7.1%2026-02-25 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-02-25 18:05