Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Valentin Royer
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 77.88%1.28fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -10.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%77.97%77.87%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.55%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Royer (Visit)
Prediction 22.12%4.52fair odd
EV +5.53%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 4.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%22.03%22.13%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.364.404.7725.00%22.94%22.73%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 77.88%; Valentin Royer (Visit): 22.12%. For Valentin Royer (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +5.53%E +1.16%K +1.47%G +0.081% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +2.87%E +0.618%K +0.787%G +0.023% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.77%E +0.384%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.88%E -7.59%K -52.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.77%E +0.384%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.20%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV +1.10%E +0.241%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.226%E -0.050%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.226%E -0.050%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.66%E -0.604%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.21%E -3.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.43%E -2.77%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-24 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.21%E -3.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -8.19%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -3.43%E -2.77%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -9.74%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.65%E -2.12%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-02-24 16:35 |