L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Valentin Royer

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 16:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 77.88%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -10.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%77.97%77.87%79.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.55%82.64%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valentin Royer (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.12%4.52cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 4.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%22.03%22.13%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.364.404.7725.00%22.94%22.73%20.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +5.53%E +1.16%K +1.47%G +0.081%2.9%2026-02-24 16:25
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.56%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +2.87%E +0.618%K +0.787%G +0.023%5.5%2026-02-24 16:25
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.77%E +0.384%K +0.490%G +0.009%5.1%2026-02-24 12:54
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.88%E -7.59%K -52.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.77%E +0.384%K +0.490%G +0.009%7.2%2026-02-24 12:54
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.20%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV +1.10%E +0.241%K +0.309%G +0.003%5.2%2026-02-24 16:40
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.226%E -0.050%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.226%E -0.050%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 16:20
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 16:15
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 12:54
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 16:39
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 16:40
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.66%E -0.604%K -0.782%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:05
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.21%E -3.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 16:35
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 12:54
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.43%E -2.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 14:29
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 14:30
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 14:30
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 16:10
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 16:09
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 14:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 14:25
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 14:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 12:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 12:40
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 12:40
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 12:55
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 14:25
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 16:35
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.21%E -3.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -8.19%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 12:45
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -3.43%E -2.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -9.74%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 14:30
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.65%E -2.12%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 08:24
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 14:30
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 14:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 14:25
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-02-24 16:35