La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Valentin Royer
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 77.88%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -10.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.19%77.97%77.87%79.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.55%82.64%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Valentin Royer (Visitante)
Predicción 22.12%4.52momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.081%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%22.03%22.13%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.364.404.7725.00%22.94%22.73%20.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +5.53%E +1.16%K +1.47%G +0.081% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 16:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +2.87%E +0.618%K +0.787%G +0.023% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 16:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.77%E +0.384%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.88%E -7.59%K -52.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.77%E +0.384%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| GTbets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.20%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV +1.10%E +0.241%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.226%E -0.050%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.226%E -0.050%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 16:39 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.447%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.66%E -0.604%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 15:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.21%E -3.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 16:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 12:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.77%E -0.866%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.43%E -2.77%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 14:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 16:10 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.87%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 16:09 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:55 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:40 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-24 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.21%E -3.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -8.19%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -3.43%E -2.77%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -9.74%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.65%E -2.12%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-02-24 16:35 |