Language:English
Alexei Popyrin v Kamil Majchrzak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Prediction 53.62%1.87fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.57%53.66%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.791.8359.52%56.38%56.02%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)
Prediction 46.38%2.16fair odd
EV -0.281%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.244%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.43%46.34%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.022.1551.28%49.19%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 53.62%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 46.38%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.281%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 15:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-24 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 15:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.281%E -0.131%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.281%E -0.131%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.31%E -4.86%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 15:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.31%E -4.86%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -9.92%E -5.90%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 15:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-02-24 15:30 |